Renewable Power Forecast to Scheduling of Thermal Units

نویسندگان

  • Pedro M. Fonte
  • Bruno Santos
  • Cláudio Monteiro
  • João P. S. Catalão
  • Fernando Maciel Barbosa
چکیده

In this work is discussed the importance of the renewable production forecast in an island environment. A probabilistic forecast based on kernel density estimators is proposed. The aggregation of these forecasts, allows the determination of thermal generation amount needed to schedule and operating a power grid of an island with high penetration of renewable generation. A case study based on electric system of S. Miguel Island is presented. The results show that the forecast techniques are an imperative tool help the grid management.

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تاریخ انتشار 2014